The Southeast region, along with the Southern Great Plains, would be most impacted by the extreme heat, according to the report. Under the worst-case scenario — one which assumes emissions continue at the current rate — by midcentury the period between and , areas of states in these regions would experience the equivalent of three months per year on average during which temperatures feel hotter than degrees.
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In Georgia, cities such as Albany, Brunswick, Hinesville and Valdosta would experience the highest frequency of extreme heat days with a heat index of degrees Fahrenheit or above, according to the analysis. Metro Atlanta has historically experienced one day a year on average with a heat index of degrees, said Astrid Caldas, senior climate scientist for UCS and study co-author, but without significantly reducing the amount of greenhouses gases in the atmosphere, that number could reach more than 20 days by midcentury.
But some climate scientists have expressed concerns about such dire heat scenarios that may not take mitigating factors into account. Though there is no set standard for what constitutes an extreme heat event, the frequency of heat events classified as extreme has been on the rise since the mids, and a growing body of research attributes that rise to the increase in carbon emissions, according to the UCS report.
For a rapid action scenario, the data used was based on standards set forth by the goal of the Paris Agreement. If global average warming is limited to the goal of the Paris Agreement, the number of days per year on average with a heat index above degrees in metro Atlanta by late century would be 13, as opposed to 55 if no action is taken to reduce emissions, according to the report.vicentsoftware.cl/wp-content/map10.php
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But Judith Curry, professor emerita of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at Georgia Tech, cautions against using the most alarming scenarios from climate models. Temperature extremes, particularly in cities, are modified by urbanization, air pollution and irrigation, Curry said.
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But Caldas said current conditions are unique and science literature has continued to confirm the relationship between carbon dioxide and global warming along with the source of those emissions as man-made — from the burning of fossil fuels rather than natural sources. The report points out the toll that extreme heat may have on certain populations, specifically outdoor workers, city dwellers, low-income communities and people who live in areas prone to other natural disasters such as floods, hurricanes or wildfires.
Mostly sunny, with a high near Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
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Tuesday Night A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2 a. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Wednesday Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2 p. West wind around 5 mph.
It's Going To Be Hot: Heat Advisory Issued For Much Of Georgia
Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. Wednesday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8 p. Mostly cloudy, with a low around Thursday A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday Night A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Friday A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
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